Wintermute, a major crypto trading firm, is moving into prediction markets. These markets let users trade on the outcomes of real-world events like politics, sports, and the economy.
Wintermute says it will start providing liquidity on prediction market platforms to help make markets deeper and more efficient for traders. The company, which trades about $3.5 trillion a year, plans to offer continuous buy and sell prices on event contracts so participants can enter and exit positions more easily.
Prediction markets have become more popular as traders use them to measure public opinion and predict future events. But low liquidity has often been a problem, causing wider spreads and less reliable prices.
Wintermute thinks its market-making skills can help fix this. By always offering buy and sell quotes, the company hopes to improve price discovery, boost trading depth, and make prediction markets more appealing to both institutions and regular traders.
This move fits well with Wintermute’s other crypto activities, which already include spot trading, derivatives, over-the-counter markets, and decentralized finance.
Industry data shows the sector is growing fast. Top platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket handle billions in weekly trading and support hundreds of thousands of active markets.
As prediction markets mature, better liquidity could make them stronger real-time forecasting tools and open up new ways to connect with decentralized finance and blockchain financial products.
Prediction markets are emerging as a distinct asset class, pricing probabilities on events that traditional markets don’t capture cleanly
Wintermute is now providing liquidity on event contracts across leading venues pic.twitter.com/ekWn2SnCcJ
— Wintermute (@wintermute_t) May 29, 2026
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