Bitcoin’s $500K Target: Can ETFs Drive The Rally Amid Outflows?
By Vishakha Thakur
Last week humne dekha ki, Trump Tariff concerns ke chalte, Bitcoin ka price $79K tak decline hua aur last 2 weeks mei Spot Bitcoin ETFs mei bhi $3.6 bn ke outflows hue .
Bitcoin ETFs See $3.6bn Outflows in Past 2 Weeks
So, being a Bitcoin investor…aap worried honge but… you need not to worry kyunki Bloomberg ke senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas ka kehna hai ki ye sirf market ki natural cycle ka ek part hai…Infact, these outflows account for less than 2% of total assets, matlab….jo majority of Bitcoin & Ethereum ETF asset managers hain wo ab bhi $115bn se bhi zyada assets hold krte hain..
Infact, Banking Giant Standard Chartered ne abhi bhi 2028 tak Bitcoin ka $500K ka price prediction maintain kiya hai.
So in this special show, we are going to talk about
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Toh Feb 25th ko… Spot Bitcoin ETFs mei net outflow hua of $937.9 mn jis me most of the outflows were led by BlackRock, Fidelity aur WisdomTree. And on Feb. 26, BlackRock’s IBIT ETF alone saw its largest single-day outflow of $418 mn.
February 25: Bitcoin ETFs Record $937mn Outflows
Ab iska sabse bada reason tha… investors shifting to safer alternatives….
Pichle ek hafte mei Jahan Bitcoin ETFs mei outflows hue wahin Gold ETFs mei over $4 bn ke inflows hue. Ab isse pata chlta hai ki kayi investors macroeconomic concerns ki wjh se traditional safe-haven assets ki taraf shift kar rahe hain.
Gold ETFs See $4bn Inflows Amid Crypto Weakness
Another interesting aspect is data by Velo data, which indicates that the difference between the spot price and futures has dropped to 4%. This is the lowest since the ETFs started trading in January 2024 aur isse cash-and-carry ya basis trade bhi kaha jata. Basically,basis trade mei Hedge funds ek strategy use krte hain jahan wo spot Bitcoin ETFs buy krte hain aur saath hi Futures market mei short position bhi lete hain. Ye ek market neutral strategy hai jo in dono markets mei mispricing ke chalte profit earn karne par focus krti hai.
Infact, as per 10x research head, Markus Thielen, 44% of US Bitcoin ETF buying is for hodling, yaani holding for a longer period. While 56%, is likely tied to arbitrage strategies, where traders buy spot Bitcoin through ETFs while simultaneously shorting Bitcoin futures and profiting from the difference between spot and futures prices.
So despite the market downturn and short-term outflows, the good news is… new ETF filings continue to emerge. Asset manager Grayscale has filed for a Cardano ETF aur ye application SEC ne acknowledge bhi ki hai. Also, Grayscale ne Polkadot DOT ETF ke liye bhi file kiya hai. Asset manager Bitwise has also filed an application for Aptos ETF.
SEC Acknowledges Grayscale’s Filing For Cardano ADA ETF
Bitwise Files For Aptos ETF
So overall, Jahan Bitcoin ETFs mei short-term outflows ho rahe hain, the broader institutional outlook is bullish. Experts emphasize kar rahe hain ki ye fluctuations sirf market cycle ka part hai aur apko panic nahi karna chahiye. Bitcoin ETFs still hold billions in assets, aur jaise hi market conditions stabilize hoti hain hum phirse inflows dekh skte hain.
Bitcoin ETFs: A Long-term Play Despite Market Shifts
That’s all for today’s ETF watch – Crypto Edition! Stay tuned for more updates
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