Following upbeat remarks from Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, prediction markets indicate that the likelihood of the U.S. CLARITY Act passing has increased significantly to 90%.
According to data from Polymarket, the probability that the crypto legislation will be passed into law in 2026 has risen from roughly 60% in recent weeks. As lawmakers and industry stakeholders continue their deliberations, Armstrong stated that the bill’s negotiations have made “great progress,” with only a few concerns still pending resolution.
The CLARITY Act aims to provide more detailed supervision frameworks for exchanges, token issuers and decentralised platforms by outlining regulatory responsibilities across the digital asset ecosystem.
Legislative clarity is a top concern because industry participants have long maintained that regulatory ambiguity has hindered innovation and institutional adoption.
In an interview with CNBC, Armstrong said that Senate members are aggressively trying to complete the measure, holding regular meetings to settle any remaining policy and technical issues.
He stated that the bill may be a “win-win-win” for cryptocurrency companies, financial institutions, and consumers by establishing clear laws.
Senator Bernie Moreno also expressed optimism regarding the bill’s progress, arguing that it might be adopted as early as April. The CEO of Ripple, Brad Garlinghouse, has also predicted that the legislation is likely to reach the president’s desk within the same time frame.
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