Kalshi, a prediction market platform, faced a major legal setback when a federal judge in New York denied its attempt to stop state gambling regulators from enforcing local laws on its sports-event contracts.
Judge Analisa Torres, who also handled the Ripple case, ruled that New York’s gambling laws still apply, even if prediction markets claim federal commodities rules should take precedence. This decision may affect similar legal disputes in other states.
Kalshi has argued that its event contracts fall only under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) because they trade on a federally regulated market. The company believes this should stop states from labelling its products as illegal gambling.
Judge Torres disagreed.
She decided that New York’s gambling laws are not overridden by the Commodity Exchange Act and said Kalshi did not show it was likely to win its case.
The court also dismissed Kalshi’s three main arguments about federal pre-emption. Judge Torres said Congress did not clearly mean to replace state gambling laws with federal rules and noted that the Commodity Exchange Act still recognizes state law.
Kalshi also claimed that following New York’s licensing rules would conflict with federal market access rules. The judge disagreed, saying the company could get a state license if needed.
The judge also found that Kalshi did not prove it would face serious harm. She described the company’s compliance costs and geolocation requirements as normal business expenses, not unusual legal problems.
Public interest played a big role in the decision. The court mentioned worries about gambling addiction in young adults, protecting college sports, and New York’s right to enforce its own laws.
This decision comes as Kalshi is reportedly seeking new funding that could value the company at $40 billion. It also follows a period of fast growth, with most recent activity coming from sports-related contracts.
Kalshi has won some cases in states like New Jersey and Tennessee but lost in others, leading to a patchwork of legal outcomes. Many experts think these differences could eventually send the issue to the U.S. Supreme Court.
For now, the New York ruling is one of Kalshi’s biggest legal challenges and highlights the ongoing debate about the limits of federal and state authority over gambling and financial regulation.
BREAKING: Kalshi denied preliminary injunction in crucial Southern District of New York case by Judge Analisa Torres. Major, major loss for Kalshi in the financial capital of the US, with likely knock-on effects in other cases (especially Connecticut and other SDNY lawsuits). pic.twitter.com/pLCobVo21S
— Daniel Wallach (@WALLACHLEGAL) July 8, 2026
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